Unusual-Imbalance
0xd2f4f730275d8ade04666f67ba558ff750f5f6c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$7.42
Total PnL
$-8.28
Realised
$2.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Michael Soetaert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
5 shares @ 87.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$5.00
$0.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
15 shares @ 25.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.42
$-1.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on January 17?
59 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$10.00Feb 19, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Soetaert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?$4.40Jan 18, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on January 17?$10.00Jan 18, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on January 17?$0.52Jan 17, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on January 17?$1.00Jan 17, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on January 17?$8.44Jan 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on January 17?$0.04Jan 17, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Jan 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Jan 16, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on January 17?$7.50Jan 16, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?$3.80Jan 16, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on January 16?$1.50Jan 16, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$7.40Jan 15, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 21:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.