Guilty-Horst
0xd2f5b31bf68c0a970f68be6fd500882b0231e99b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long?
4150 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-152.26
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?
1500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?
800 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-144.00
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
694 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
521 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-138.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
207 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-39.76
- RAPTORS
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
144 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?
46 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-8.5)$101.50May 3, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$155.43May 3, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$130.52May 3, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$19.15May 3, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$131.48May 3, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 7?$38.00Mar 6, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$37.91Mar 4, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$89.00Mar 3, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 7?$100.00Mar 3, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$50.00Mar 2, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$50.00Mar 1, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$150.00Mar 1, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 1, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 28?$45.20Mar 1, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?$25.00Mar 1, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$100.00Feb 28, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 28?$5.92Feb 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 28?$21.13Feb 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$80.83Feb 28, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$100.00Feb 28, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $81.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 23:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.