Oval-Cabana
0xd2fc00420e2be645c7eec2b028003da7d7e21059
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$123.80
Total PnL
$1.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
32 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.01
$0.26
- NO
Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?
26 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.00
$0.03
- NO
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$25.00
$0.90
- NO
NATO dissolves before 2027?
22 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.97
$0.29
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.82
$0.66
- YES
Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?
555 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
160 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.16
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.30Jan 31, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.30Jan 31, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $800M one day after launch?$25.97Jan 31, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by March 31, 2026?$24.10Jan 31, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$20.16Jan 31, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$30.75Jan 31, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO dissolves before 2027?$20.68Jan 31, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Jan 31, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$22.00Jan 31, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on September 30?$25.00Jan 31, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$26.00Jan 31, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump resign in 2025?$28.00Jan 31, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?$0.01Sep 10, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?$0.03Sep 10, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?$0.03Sep 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?$0.02Sep 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?$0.03Sep 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign in 2025?$26.68Sep 9, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$0.00Sep 9, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$0.01Sep 9, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 05:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 10:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".