Sticky-Democracy
0xd2ffcbc1babedbe3a873024520e48d1fa885d094
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$38.64
Total PnL
$-669.70
Realised
$1.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
150 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$21.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
194 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.25
$-22.75
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
884 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.74
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
875 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.40
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
284 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$21.00Jun 2, 12:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 01:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 11, 01:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 10, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$58.00Mar 8, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$208.08Feb 28, 22:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 24, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$1.00Feb 4, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$9.00Jan 28, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlhan Omar town hall attack staged?$5.00Jan 28, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?$10.00Jan 28, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 27, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$5.40Jan 27, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Jan 26, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$24.00Jan 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$3.00Jan 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$1.00Jan 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 00:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $24.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".