Nice-Salmon
0xd30b17f152bdd2c931a55699579906506d400c29
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-300.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?
231 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 3?
185 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- NO
CZ mindshare all time high by March 31?
183 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-181.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?
175 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 17?
166 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 14?
131 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on January 26?
127 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
118 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?
104 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 11?
96 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$133.81Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$0.28Jul 14, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$131.26Jul 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?$1.73Jul 6, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 5?$141.82Jun 5, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 5?$140.26Jun 5, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 3?$1.98Jun 3, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$2.10May 25, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 25?$136.23May 25, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 25?$134.32May 25, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 25?$2.74May 24, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$140.00May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$138.18May 17, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$2.43May 10, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 1?$32.07May 10, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on April 27?$109.55Apr 27, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 27?$106.48Apr 27, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 19?$90.71Apr 27, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 21?$2.70Apr 21, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 19?$89.44Apr 18, 23:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $45.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.