Snoopy-Note
0xd30c9665f4d95a977395fba49c9e54dbc0d8ada7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-8.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
1405 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-460.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
872 shares @ 90.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-788.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
202 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-95.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
167 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 30?
154 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 30?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
77 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-74.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
77 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-57.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?$18.19May 17, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$101.78May 17, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$100.12May 17, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?$2.56May 17, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?$22.58May 17, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$101.65May 17, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$50.86May 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$50.91May 17, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$172.06May 17, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$99.84May 16, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$415.74May 15, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$401.06May 15, 19:09 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.00May 15, 17:58 UTC
- SPLITWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.00May 15, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$145.20May 15, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$100.21May 15, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$40.14May 15, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$44.32May 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$40.27May 15, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$405.39May 15, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $98.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.