Cultured-Expansionism
0xd3115239813223a6264b9a167b8e10443db1c64b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$95.00
Total PnL
$52.60
Realised
$-1.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?
95 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2024$95.00
$85.50
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
220 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.44
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
220 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.66
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
140 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-25.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$25.20Dec 17, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$5.00Dec 11, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$0.11Dec 5, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$0.13Dec 5, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$0.13Dec 5, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$0.16Dec 5, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$0.13Dec 4, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.44Sep 29, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in 2024?$19.20Sep 29, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$20.80Sep 25, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,400 on September 13?$9.50Sep 13, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $7.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 13, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".