Obvious-Trait
0xd3165947d3585af4a1858475070363551f1e246a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$22.73
Total PnL
$-4.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?
11 shares @ 92.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$10.73
$0.78
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 4?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 4?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$1.19
$0.20
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
72 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on October 6?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 4?$1.00Apr 3, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 4?$1.00Apr 3, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 4?$2.00Apr 3, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?$1.00Apr 3, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?$10.00Apr 3, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?$200.20Apr 3, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Mar 28, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 28, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.00Mar 28, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.00Mar 28, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.00Mar 28, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.00Mar 28, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?$200.00Mar 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on October 6?$2.00Oct 5, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3700 on July 22 at 5PM ET?$1.96Oct 5, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMRoyals vs. Cubs$2.86Oct 5, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. Rangers$2.90Oct 5, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWhite Sox vs. Rays$2.99Oct 5, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 22 at 5PM ET?$3.23Oct 5, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 22 at 5PM ET?$3.00Jul 22, 13:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $164.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".