Realistic-Mortgage
0xd31e23ecdc982cd8d1a7e2f2d2a5184a1e0d5f75
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.88
Total PnL
$-13.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
88 shares @ 10.6¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.88
$-1.45
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
4581 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
3445 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
3445 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
3445 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2293 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2293 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2292 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2291 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2291 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.33Mar 24, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$9.27Mar 24, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$9.10Feb 4, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 4, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.02Jan 7, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.06Jan 7, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Dec 11, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Dec 11, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Dec 4, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 4, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?$1.03Dec 4, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$9.2KNov 13, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$3.4KNov 13, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$4.6KNov 13, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$3.4KNov 13, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$3.4KNov 13, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.7KNov 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.7KNov 13, 06:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $831.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 05:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 02:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".