Specific-Dog
0xd33fbdc958dc909d89c280de0ee48f278bfde117
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-619.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
1296 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-212.08
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end before October 15?
1083 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
1028 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on October 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second most valuable company on October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$61.68Apr 1, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$61.68Apr 1, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Mar 24, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Mar 24, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$56.19Mar 16, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$56.19Mar 16, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$52.26Mar 8, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$52.26Mar 8, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$51.42Mar 7, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$51.42Mar 7, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$49.83Mar 3, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$49.83Mar 3, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$49.53Mar 2, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$0.22Mar 2, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$6.41Mar 2, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$17.33Mar 2, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?$10.12Mar 2, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$15.45Mar 2, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$15.33Feb 28, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$15.33Feb 28, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $20.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".