Untidy-Cardboard
0xd3475b9559a4ae81bbf936ef39791eecb6e0f3c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.01
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 25?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 26?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$1.00Mar 25, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27?$1.00Mar 25, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 26?$1.00Mar 25, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 25?$1.00Mar 25, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.04Mar 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Dec 20, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 19?$10.4KDec 20, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 19?$10.3KDec 19, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$25.18Nov 16, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$25.15Nov 11, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 10?$1.5KNov 11, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 10?$1.5KNov 10, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$10.81Nov 10, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$10.73Oct 6, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet between 500 and 519 times September 5–12?$1.00Oct 6, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 500 and 519 times September 5–12?$1.00Sep 7, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150K in August?$1.02Sep 7, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in August?$1.00Aug 5, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $446.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.