Tight-Rationale
0xd34ab0bfa39d8e47b3c9fd4d09712aaccd198251
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
150
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-64.84
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Heat
9897 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-98.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
1200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
1187 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-106.13
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?
1177 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-47.77
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?
1052 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-29.94
- NETS
Timberwolves vs. Nets
1017 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-203.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- HORNETS
Hornets vs. Heat
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- MINAUR
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaur
605 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-392.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Heat$98.97Nov 11, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Suns$2.00Nov 11, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Jazz$3.00Nov 11, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Bulls$48.29Nov 11, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Nov 11, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Pistons$3.00Nov 11, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Bulls$20.00Nov 11, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWizards vs. Pistons$19.36Nov 11, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Pistons$10.00Nov 11, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$4.00Nov 11, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$53.81Nov 11, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?$20.51Nov 11, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$15.47Nov 11, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$1.00Nov 11, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.00Nov 11, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?$10.97Nov 11, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?$6.50Nov 11, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$11.00Nov 10, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 11?$3.00Nov 10, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 10?$3.00Nov 10, 15:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $21.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 01:32 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".