Scarce-Suspect
0xd34bc60294541d8cc2a68be4a69845f42707672c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
197
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-55.2K
Realised
$3.3K
Win rate
100%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 197- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
7785 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-289.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
4847 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-322.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
4392 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
4049 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-750.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
3460 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-659.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
3376 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-899.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
3346 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-899.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
3162 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
3107 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
3021 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.01Jul 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.14Jul 12, 20:49 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.77Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$79.12Jul 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$21.32Jul 10, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$21.15Jul 10, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$104.68Jul 10, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$17.50Jul 10, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$28.51Jul 10, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$21.01Jul 10, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$8.78Jul 10, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$21.25Jul 10, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.34Jul 10, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$10.64Jul 10, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$21.34Jul 10, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$31.72Jul 10, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$21.09Jul 10, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$190.22Jul 10, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$21.04Jul 10, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$31.55Jul 10, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $121.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 21:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.