Formal-Sentence
0xd34bff3869a97e84d72f705a31bbd886d4533e15
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.28
Total PnL
$-955.57
Realised
$3.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 15.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.28
$-3.42
- YES
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?
2076 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-212.22
- YES
Will Trump say "Soybean" during Xi events on October 29?
1708 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-316.92
- YES
Will Trump say "Mineral" during Xi events on October 29?
1509 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-51.06
- YES
Will Trump say "Chip" during Xi events on October 29?
1484 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-159.93
- YES
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
1166 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.96
- NO
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 7, 2025?
1063 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-80.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
90 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $470b and $480b on October 31?
84 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.28
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
60 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$13.20Nov 5, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.19Nov 4, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$28.80Nov 4, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.48Nov 4, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.01Nov 4, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 4?$11.16Nov 4, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 4?$1.80Nov 4, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 4?$0.59Nov 4, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 4?$1.51Nov 4, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$2.64Nov 4, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.38Nov 4, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 4?$1.83Nov 4, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$0.15Nov 4, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 4?$1.14Nov 4, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$0.08Nov 4, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$4.72Nov 4, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$7.42Nov 4, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$0.11Nov 4, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 3?$30.00Nov 4, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$3.23Nov 3, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".