Stable-Safari
0xd34cd32144ba03dbf47f9d87d0bf0f2f4cb8f04c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.08
Total PnL
$-64.16
Realised
$41.50
Win rate
72%
88 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 4?
41 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.06
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 4?
35 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.02
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 9?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 39°C or higher on June 19?
120 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 24?
110 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 106-107°F on June 29?
81 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 8?
69 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on July 9?
65 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?
60 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-18.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 19?
60 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 4?$0.13Aug 3, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4?$0.60Aug 3, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 3?$0.39Aug 3, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 4?$0.12Aug 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 4?$0.06Aug 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 4?$0.03Aug 3, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 4?$0.04Aug 3, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 4?$0.02Aug 3, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4?$0.02Aug 3, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4?$0.03Aug 3, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4?$0.00Aug 3, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4?$0.60Aug 3, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 4?$0.09Aug 3, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on August 4?$0.60Aug 3, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 4?$0.21Aug 3, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 4?$0.00Aug 3, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 4?$0.00Aug 3, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or higher on August 4?$0.03Aug 3, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on August 4?$0.30Aug 3, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on August 4?$0.60Aug 3, 11:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
70/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 88 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
88 closed markets, 72% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 17:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 88 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.