Honest-Sycamore
0xd3547f6d7c4b3ea30e0ca94dbe8049e402df4d78
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-550.91
Realised
$-110.68
Win rate
12%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 23?
1099 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-32.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 30?
250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 30?
211 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 17?
117 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 26?
114 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-19.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 29?
106 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-47.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on June 25?
104 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-22.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 26?
103 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-33.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 26?
103 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-43.06
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$4.75Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$45.06Jul 3, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 3?$92.49Jul 3, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$2.07Jul 2, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 3?$3.79Jul 2, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$1.11Jul 2, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 3?$21.51Jul 2, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$25.92Jul 2, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 3?$78.92Jul 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 3?$28.51Jul 2, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 2?$0.16Jul 2, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?$166.17Jul 2, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?$38.74Jul 2, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?$5.19Jul 2, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?$2.08Jul 2, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?$2.08Jul 2, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?$1.03Jul 1, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?$1.03Jul 1, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?$2.07Jul 1, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?$13.45Jul 1, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
12% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $27.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.