Pristine-Bunch
0xd359ec1da3a6e3f6494a56ef7b3d3d46d768d361
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$929.36
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$597.58
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
7200 shares @ 15.3¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$504.00
$-597.13
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1478 shares @ 34.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$288.21
$-214.31
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
2110 shares @ 24.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.15
$-379.14
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?
34000 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?
11975 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-546.78
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?
8600 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
2997 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
2000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?
1668 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-198.69
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
1429 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-509.71
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Europe" or "European" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$46.80Aug 1, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Europe" or "European" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$31.08Jul 31, 14:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $32.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.