Sparse-Broiler
0xd35b56e977ff612346de6b1107607bd9e4814a53
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40001 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$101.56
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
36376 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$454.70
$-90.94
- YES
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals
1500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-74.62
- YES
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
1351 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-94.55
- ARGENTINA
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
1275 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-149.81
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-1.5)
950 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-149.63
- YES
Dailon Livramento: 1+ goals
815 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-49.71
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
690 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-248.40
- YES
Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goals
538 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-48.46
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
510 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-74.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Aug 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$94.55Jul 19, 19:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$100.32Jul 18, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?$100.40Jul 18, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?$99.27Jul 18, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals AND Will France win on 2026-07-18?$50.00Jul 18, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $222.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.