Scaly-Spree
0xd35e67214123d36590137c1b5b59c17dfc2b30a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$33.10
Total PnL
$-459.05
Realised
$3.50
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- NO
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.80
$-1.80
- YES
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.40
$0.20
- NO
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 31.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.36
$-2.64
- YES
DAI depeg by December 31?
39 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.51
$-1.17
- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in July?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.60
$-8.00
- YES
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 11.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.34
$-4.66
- YES
Will Patrick Vallance be in the Burnham cabinet?
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$-5.71
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
166 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
- YES
Will France be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
33 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in July?$10.60Jul 22, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 net interest income be above $1.025B?$20.00Jul 22, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 net interest income be above $1B?$20.00Jul 21, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$4.11Jul 20, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?$34.60Jul 18, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$3.84Jul 15, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 13?$10.00Jul 13, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$3.68Jul 13, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLHotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?$7.66Jul 11, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?$0.70Jul 11, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $3B one day after launch?$8.63Jul 11, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$6.47Jul 11, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 13?$9.80Jul 11, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$1.39Jul 11, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.82Jul 11, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$14.10Jul 11, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?$9.00Jul 8, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?$9.00Jul 7, 10:25 UTC
- REWARD$5.60Jun 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$1.50Jun 26, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 13:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.