Emotional-Glove
0xd3665d9fceaa9a32161cc09507c33960ab036da9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$82.02
Total PnL
$-34.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
77 shares @ 6.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$76.92
$71.92
- YES
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$4.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?
253 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Yankees win the World Series?$5.00Oct 30, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4$10.80Oct 30, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$15.86Oct 25, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$6.00Oct 22, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Crooked Joe" 3 or more times during California rally on October 12?$0.51Oct 13, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Crooked Joe" 3 or more times during California rally on October 12?$0.69Oct 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "tampon" during California rally on October 12?$0.09Oct 13, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "tampon" during California rally on October 12?$11.20Oct 13, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "tampon" during California rally on October 12?$4.71Oct 12, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during California rally on October 12?$4.20Oct 12, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$5.50Oct 12, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during California rally on October 12?$1.05Oct 12, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $20-25b one day after launch?$0.00Oct 11, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?$0.00Oct 11, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?$0.00Oct 11, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMEigenlayer market cap (FDV) greater than $40b one day after launch?$0.00Oct 11, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "Trump" 10 or more times during Univision town hall on October 10?$0.00Oct 11, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "abortion ban" during Univision town hall on October 10?$0.00Oct 11, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "abortion ban" during Univision town hall on October 10?$10.00Oct 11, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "Trump" 10 or more times during Univision town hall on October 10?$10.00Oct 11, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $8.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 01:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.