Heavy-Inauguration
0xd3866bb7ef63cbcadacb008dafadbbf67e91be55
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$472.39
Total PnL
$193.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
444 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$432.68
$210.68
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
27 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
14 shares @ 57.0¢·now 73.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$10.32
$2.32
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
28 shares @ 14.4¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Tyler Reddick win the 2025 NASCAR In-Season Challenge?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- NIP
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
8 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $180 in July?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.44Jul 11, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $41.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.