Cheap-Noise
0xd3898862c6fe7cf5d9c5a8bf99192e068ad53495
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$46.30
Total PnL
$-40.25
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Biden drops out of presidential race?
12 shares @ 25.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$11.57
$8.57
- NO
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$9.09
$7.09
- YES
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
5 shares @ 41.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2024$4.82
$2.82
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$3.64
$1.64
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?
1 shares @ 76.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2024$1.43
$0.33
- NO
Kendrick drops another track by midnight?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2024$1.20
$0.20
- YES
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.18
$0.18
- NO
TikTok/UMG deal before March?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 29, 2024$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Finnish Presidential Election: Will Alexander Stubb win?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2024$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Haaland to break PL goal record this season?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2024$1.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKendrick drops another track by midnight?$1.00May 6, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaaland to break PL goal record this season?$1.00Apr 10, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMTaiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?$1.12Apr 10, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMTaiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?$2.27Apr 10, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill roon deactivate his account in February?$1.00Feb 23, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass?$1.00Feb 23, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?$1.00Feb 23, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?$1.00Feb 23, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden trip on a staircase again this week?$1.00Feb 23, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden trip on a staircase again this week?$1.00Feb 23, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok/UMG deal before March?$1.00Feb 23, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYC trucker strike for Trump by Friday?$1.00Feb 23, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaaland to break PL goal record this season?$1.00Feb 23, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$1.00Feb 23, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$1.00Feb 23, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$1.00Feb 23, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeSantis place 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Caucus?$2.55Feb 23, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMContinued US strikes against Houthis?$2.94Feb 23, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$1.00Feb 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Feb 22, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 20:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 19:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.