Improbable-Deputy
0xd38d668423eafe761b780818d2bfac53ee833093
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$71.95
Total PnL
$32.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
24 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$23.77
$14.27
- YES
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
20 shares @ 50.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$19.62
$9.64
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
13 shares @ 72.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$12.95
$3.61
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
9 shares @ 69.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$8.97
$2.76
- YES
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
7 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$6.63
$2.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$6.21Nov 30, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?$4.18Nov 30, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$9.51Nov 30, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$9.98Nov 30, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$9.34Nov 30, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMFavorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?$10.00Nov 30, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?$3.00Sep 6, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$13.13Sep 6, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$15.00Sep 6, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$14.14Sep 6, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$15.00Sep 6, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$58.41Sep 6, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$15.00Sep 6, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$14.97Sep 6, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$15.00Sep 6, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $14.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 6, 12:39 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".