Carefree-Caramel
0xd3904a2fdc402e0292c8ee69316e3c9a2aed8705
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$46.03
Total PnL
$2.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Club Alianza Atlético leading at halftime?
19 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$19.00
$1.52
- NO
Will Jordan win on 2026-05-31?
15 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.00
$0.75
- NO
Jordan leading at halftime?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.00
$0.55
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 92.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.98
$0.05
- YES
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
2 shares @ 5.2¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$0.05
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJordan leading at halftime?$10.47Jun 7, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-05-31?$14.27May 31, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Alianza Atlético leading at halftime?$17.52May 21, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$0.00May 21, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMCA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 4.5$0.00May 21, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?$14.00May 21, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$21.00May 21, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$19.37May 14, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?$12.91May 14, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 4.5$11.99May 7, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$335.74Mar 21, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.4KMar 21, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.8KMar 21, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$83.50Mar 21, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$11.93Mar 21, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$100.06Mar 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.8KMar 20, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$482.13Mar 20, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.3KMar 20, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$8.94Mar 20, 23:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $408.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 03:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.