Foolhardy-Graduation
0xd39be686a989972017934047a67d772dee95c6c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-976.60
Realised
$922.23
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
153080 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
1201 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-43.99
- YES
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
1200 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-32.99
- YES
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
907 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-19.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
719 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 24-31?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
373 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.73
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?
300 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 19-25?$25.20Jan 21, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$10.00Dec 5, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$10.00Dec 5, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$10.00Dec 5, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$5.00Sep 21, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$5.00Sep 19, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$5.00Sep 15, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$0.04Sep 13, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$1.29Sep 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$1.54Sep 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$1.44Sep 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$10.00Sep 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$0.60Sep 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$5.01Sep 13, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$10.00Sep 13, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?$0.00Sep 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWLFI above $0.20 on September 12?$24.46Sep 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?$17.62Sep 12, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?$39.99Sep 12, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?$1.00Sep 12, 05:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".