Generous-Fob
0xd39c00e9a3e0a079eda417841a04145003df6114
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.88
Total PnL
$-46.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Netanyahu out by July 31?
15 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.88
$-0.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 1?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 22?
367 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?
366 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on December 8?
353 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
219 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 2, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SEOUL KNIGHTS
Seoul Knights vs. KCC Egis
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by July 31?$14.90Jul 18, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?$75.08Jun 4, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?$3.00Jun 3, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?$75.01Jun 3, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?$1.05Jun 3, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?$3.00Jun 3, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$79.08Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?$79.01Jun 1, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$79.08May 26, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$79.00May 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$79.16May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$79.01May 21, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?$2.00May 21, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$78.08May 21, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?$2.00May 10, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$2.20May 10, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$78.00May 10, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?$81.08May 10, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?$81.00May 8, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$0.00May 8, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $50.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 07:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.