Everlasting-Regulator
0xd39d266d5aec9e0a1d6bd109a825e5f038a1dd78
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$57.07
Total PnL
$-207.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
57 shares @ 79.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$57.07
$11.67
- YES
Will Dan 'Jungleman' Cates win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk say "xAI" 2 or more times during the August 6 AMA?
166 shares @ 90.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $117,000 on August 6?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
57 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$35.40Aug 21, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$35.71Aug 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$35.00Aug 8, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk say "Woke" during the August 6 AMA?$1.27Aug 8, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on August 6?$3.00Aug 6, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAny Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?$36.73Aug 6, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$8.00Aug 6, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 6?$7.68Aug 6, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?$31.00Aug 6, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk say "Woke" during the August 6 AMA?$1.00Aug 6, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk say "xAI" 2 or more times during the August 6 AMA?$150.00Aug 6, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk say "Crypto/Bitcoin/Doge" during the August 6 AMA?$5.00Aug 6, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk say "Trump" during the August 6 AMA?$1.00Aug 6, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?$1.00Aug 6, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $117,000 on August 6?$1.00Aug 6, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 6?$1.00Aug 6, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$10.00Aug 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$10.00Aug 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Tariff" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$1.00Aug 6, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?$1.00Aug 6, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $15.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.