0xd3a4f4ebeedf8a19861126dd6e1fcadc4bb98101
0xd3a4f4ebeedf8a19861126dd6e1fcadc4bb98101
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.71
Total PnL
$-2.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year?
2 shares @ 81.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2021$2.45
$0.45
- NO
Will it snow in New York's Central Park on New Year's Eve (Dec 31)?
1 shares @ 86.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2022$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416 ppm on Christmas Eve?
1 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2021$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Chris Cuomo launch a Substack before January 10, 2022?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2022$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the FIDE Top 3 chess players be Carlsen, Firouzja, Ding in that order on January 8, 2022?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2022$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 FIDE World Rapid Championship?
3 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2021$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?
2 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".