Decent-Builder
0xd3a5705b03e70c32d73d94b2e83d34190e9883db
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-624.67
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 2?
8004 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-160.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 8?
7200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-21.49
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?
6633 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-564.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 16-22?
5047 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 5?
4646 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?
1058 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $335?
1000 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?
986 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?
953 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-268.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?$106.23Jul 11, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 22-28?$0.69Jun 28, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?$3.19May 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$5.26May 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$7.34May 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.11May 11, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?$10.69May 10, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$3.16May 10, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$4.18May 10, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$7.55May 10, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$4.13May 10, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?$100.00Mar 13, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$30.00Mar 3, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$30.00Mar 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 16-22?$200.00Feb 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?$25.00Feb 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$100.00Feb 12, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$40.00Feb 12, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$8.00Feb 12, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$120.00Feb 12, 18:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $67.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.