Accomplished-Bibliography
0xd3ac8d527d013250e660ff544962f3705d5ff80e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-209.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 27?
223 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 30?
222 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?
218 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 31?
174 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-172.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 29?
141 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?
122 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 22?
102 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?
99 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 24?
88 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 29?
86 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?$120.00Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?$2.18Jun 4, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 1?$73.39Jun 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 1?$71.70Jun 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$2.79May 26, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 25?$82.27May 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 25?$80.46May 25, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?$2.99May 23, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 24?$1.60May 23, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?$1.80May 16, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$20.55May 7, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?$74.74Apr 27, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19?$1.47Apr 19, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 28?$0.00Apr 19, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 13?$1.35Apr 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?$0.12Apr 11, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?$72.68Apr 11, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill $MARU reach $800M in Q1?$80.47Apr 11, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$18.50Mar 31, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?$0.00Mar 31, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $30.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 03:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.