Defensive-Pinecone
0xd3ad96449d0f999d4f165de6766637b700fcbbae
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$117.65
Total PnL
$5.94
Realised
$4.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$117.65
$97.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
179 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
115 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 17?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
40 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
20 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$20.00Jan 15, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$20.00Jan 15, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?$71.22Jan 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?$27.65Jan 4, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?$50.00Jan 3, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?$20.00Jan 3, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$17.40Dec 10, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1.20Dec 6, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?$7.50Dec 6, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$15.40Dec 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.20Nov 27, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$3.30Nov 27, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.10Nov 27, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - November 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.10Nov 27, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - November 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.69Nov 27, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$3.00Nov 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$4.11Nov 27, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.08Nov 27, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - November 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.00Nov 27, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.20Nov 27, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.