Crisp-Violence
0xd3ae15c66085e347b7a933f8984dfa862cfe639f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$95.71
Total PnL
$-27.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?
96 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$95.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 12?
1900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 21?
1800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 October 13-19?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BUCKS
76ers vs. Bucks
31 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on December 18?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$96.01Jun 4, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$96.09Jun 4, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$95.91May 31, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$95.09May 31, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$95.01May 29, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$95.10May 29, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$95.00May 24, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$95.39May 24, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$95.31May 19, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$95.30May 19, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$95.20May 14, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$95.09May 14, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$95.00May 12, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?$95.09May 12, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?$95.01May 8, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$95.09May 8, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$95.00May 3, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.10May 3, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.11May 3, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.23May 3, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $63.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".