Magnificent-Independent
0xd3b18e6322aa29d7a90e64e2e103bef1afd8c4d3
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$60.44
Total PnL
$-30.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 51°F or below on May 1?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$21.29
$1.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 2?
278 shares @ 14.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$20.88
$-20.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?
14 shares @ 64.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.56
$3.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?
6 shares @ 57.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.72
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 30?
23 shares @ 22.4¢·now 8.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.99
$-3.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?
45 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-12.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 30?$5.262h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 2?$42.703h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?$4.703h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?$4.703h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 51°F or below on May 1?$20.153h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?$3.534h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 27?$0.001d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C or below on April 29?$0.001d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 28?$0.001d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 27?$0.001d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?$6.881d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?$6.901d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?$12.693d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?$3.903d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?$5.673d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C or below on April 29?$9.453d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 28?$8.163d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?$1.463d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 27?$3.503d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 27?$3.503d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".