Wan-Hypothesis
0xd3b8e41167163e080a3663dc38d9fd26f859cd54
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-275.41
Realised
$6.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Racing Bulls finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
379 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
88 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
61 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
48 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-9.73
- YES
Will Racing Club win on 2025-09-28?
40 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-17.60
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?
40 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-22.60
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?
40 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-17.20
- YES
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-23?
35 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.05
- YES
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-09-30?
30 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-03-28?$8.48Mar 29, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Napoli win on 2025-10-01?$9.99Oct 1, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?$0.42Oct 1, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?$21.84Oct 1, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?$3.40Oct 1, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?$38.25Oct 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?$57.60Oct 1, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?$37.80Oct 1, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?$14.57Oct 1, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?$9.20Oct 1, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juventus win on 2025-10-01?$14.40Oct 1, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?$18.48Oct 1, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?$49.70Oct 1, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?$5.70Oct 1, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?$5.50Oct 1, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?$2.30Oct 1, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win on 2025-10-01?$14.60Oct 1, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?$5.70Oct 1, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter win on 2025-09-30?$10.00Oct 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?$10.00Oct 1, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $10.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".