Wallet digest

active

Activity score

39/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

149

Open notional

$6.25

Total PnL

$-4.2K

Realised

$-2.1K

Win rate

127 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 149

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026
$6.25
$2.88
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
687 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026
$0.00
$-41.31
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
545 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-18.65
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
529 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-45.90
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
400 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-24.93
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
270 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-13.13
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
242 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-12.98
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
215 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-29.04
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
199 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-5.59
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
182 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-16.79

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Mar 28, 12:29 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$15.12Mar 27, 02:42 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$12.99Mar 27, 02:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.50Mar 27, 02:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$16.72Mar 27, 02:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$14.53Mar 27, 02:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$10.72Mar 27, 02:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.20Mar 27, 02:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$10.34Mar 27, 02:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$23.36Mar 27, 02:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$13.90Mar 27, 02:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$3.38Mar 27, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.56Mar 27, 02:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$2.40Mar 27, 02:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$3.23Mar 27, 02:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.65Mar 27, 02:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$2.50Mar 27, 02:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$6.91Mar 27, 02:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.10Mar 27, 02:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$3.45Mar 27, 02:35 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry50 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk51 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 38
Avg trade size: $4.45
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 27, 01:47 UTC
Last active: Mar 28, 12:29 UTC
Win rate sample: 127 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:59:16 UTC·src:Polymarket Data