Responsible-Manager
0xd3c4de64e875f62c3160f6a632a558eae1769434
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-81.33
Realised
$1.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on September 25?
5813 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 70°F or higher on September 13?
4982 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on September 13?
4420 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 70°F or higher on September 16?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69-70°F on September 22?
1526 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-9.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or below on September 22?
1127 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on September 15?
1093 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on August 29?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on September 10?
844 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on September 8?
550 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?$1.5KSep 26, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on September 24?$0.00Sep 26, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on September 24?$0.00Sep 26, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on September 24?$0.00Sep 26, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?$5.65Sep 25, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on September 25?$1.21Sep 25, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?$0.01Sep 25, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?$0.04Sep 25, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?$0.00Sep 25, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?$1.20Sep 25, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?$0.04Sep 25, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?$0.02Sep 25, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on September 25?$0.20Sep 25, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on September 25?$0.01Sep 25, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on September 25?$0.01Sep 25, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on September 25?$4.29Sep 25, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on September 25?$0.60Sep 25, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on September 24?$0.16Sep 24, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on September 24?$0.17Sep 24, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on September 24?$0.17Sep 24, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 26, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".