Which-Hardhat
0xd3c6b9e1a0e5f2a8f568d7f3c957ae876a31e49d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$35.12
Total PnL
$-184.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
7 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.12
$0.12
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
7 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$7.00
$0.28
- NO
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
7 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$7.00
$0.05
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?
7 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.00
$0.02
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
7 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
495 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-185.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$6.95Dec 8, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$6.96Dec 3, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$6.72Dec 3, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?$6.98Dec 3, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$7.00Dec 3, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?$5.02Dec 3, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?$5.03Dec 3, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?$5.11Dec 3, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?$5.12Dec 3, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?$5.35Dec 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?$5.00Jun 24, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?$5.00Jun 24, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?$5.00Jun 24, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?$5.00Jun 24, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?$5.00Jun 24, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?$99.65Feb 19, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?$108.50Feb 19, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$132.76Jan 8, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$0.08Jan 7, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$7.35Jan 7, 06:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $28.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 4, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.