Black-And-White-Pod
0xd3cef01693aa08db134028a5f28612b26cf0245d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$155.16
Total PnL
$0.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$155.00Jun 26, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$151.52Jun 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$150.07May 22, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?$154.54May 22, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?$154.40Apr 27, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$154.41Apr 27, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$153.48Apr 17, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 16?$153.48Apr 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 16?$153.33Apr 16, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMGenius FDV above $1B one day after launch?$153.33Apr 16, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $1B one day after launch?$153.05Apr 3, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$153.05Apr 2, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$152.44Mar 14, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$152.44Mar 14, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$151.83Mar 2, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 6?$150.00Mar 2, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 6?$149.70Feb 6, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$151.52Feb 6, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$151.37Jan 26, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMSentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?$150.00Jan 26, 12:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $151.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.