Merry-Claim
0xd3d0f932e248f9c07277e0a892a7d6ed7d5fadc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.50
Total PnL
$-3.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
1 shares @ 81.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 84.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Kraken IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- RAPTORS
Bucks vs. Raptors
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Albirex Niigata win on 2025-10-26?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Raptors$1.00Nov 5, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.02Nov 5, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMRed Wings vs. Sharks$1.25Nov 5, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Sharks$1.00Nov 3, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.00Nov 1, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Oct 31, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 30, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.02Oct 30, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.04Oct 30, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.04Oct 30, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Trail Blazers$1.82Oct 30, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Oct 28, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 27, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albirex Niigata win on 2025-10-26?$1.00Oct 26, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?$1.00Oct 25, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO in 2025?$1.00Oct 23, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 23, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Oct 23, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 23, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Trail Blazers$1.00Oct 23, 03:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 03:14 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.