Popular-Goose
0xd3da5196fc3e458078a88f6a5162c47c0575ba15
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-348.68
Realised
$0.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?
3413 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2025$0.00
$-138.85
- YES
Will the Palisades fire burn between 50-60k acres in total?
2883 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-67.53
- YES
Will the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?
1000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will the Palisades fire burn between 40-50k acres in total?
850 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.88
- NO
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 31?
272 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2025$0.00
$-11.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?$976.29Mar 28, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLKaren Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?$6.56Jan 22, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKaren Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?$5.16Jan 22, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?$361.46Jan 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?$7.40Jan 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKaren Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?$369.97Jan 22, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaren Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?$270.00Jan 15, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$6.03Jan 14, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$18.00Jan 14, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$2.70Jan 14, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$0.53Jan 14, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$0.90Jan 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$1.80Jan 13, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$2.34Jan 13, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$2.70Jan 13, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$13.50Jan 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$0.18Jan 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$0.27Jan 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$9.00Jan 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?$30.60Jan 13, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $34.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 16:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".