Imaginary-Presume
0xd3e596bd1adb6421ec8ccc4843de6b3fc332b0fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$89.05
Total PnL
$-183.73
Realised
$4.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 17?
68 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$68.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on June 16?
21 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$21.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
367 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
307 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-23.93
Recent activity
- REWARD$4.16Jun 17, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.54Jun 17, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.13Jun 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 17?$68.00Jun 16, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$35.50Jun 16, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$37.50Jun 16, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?$4.16Jun 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?$6.60Jun 16, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?$10.00Jun 16, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16?$19.76Jun 16, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on June 16?$21.00Jun 15, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 5?$21.02Jun 5, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 5?$21.00Jun 5, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 30?$21.04May 31, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 30?$21.00May 29, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 27?$21.02May 28, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 27?$21.00May 26, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on May 21?$2.01May 21, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 21?$11.01May 21, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or below on May 21?$8.01May 21, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $20.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 02:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.