Enormous-Completion
0xd3ec897d89167e6b96b5927265a61347a331f148
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$12.61
Total PnL
$-43.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.61
$0.01
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
1400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 March 16-22?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
767 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 25?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 11?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on March 22?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$12.60Jul 18, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$70.07Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$70.00Jun 2, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$70.07Jun 2, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$70.00Jun 1, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$71.07May 26, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00May 26, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$71.00May 25, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$71.07May 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$71.00May 19, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?$71.07May 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?$71.00May 10, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?$54.11May 8, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$17.02May 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?$54.01May 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?$1.50May 7, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$17.00May 7, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$72.07May 5, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$72.00May 4, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $42.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 09:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.