Imaginary-Marshmallow
0xd3eef49a1d161bc8c4b86fe11e4c7a786b63fac4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.73
Total PnL
$-199.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?
31 shares @ 9.8¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.53
$-1.47
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.13
$-2.87
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
2000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?
482 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 8?
456 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
300 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
95 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$0.14Jun 12, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$13.99Jun 12, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$0.13Jun 12, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$0.26Jun 12, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$11.93Jun 12, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$61.92Jun 12, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$82.94Jun 12, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?$3.58Jun 9, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?$0.09Jun 9, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 8?$2.05Jun 8, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.10Jun 8, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$5.19Jun 8, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$5.18Jun 8, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: RoundsGG vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs$3.07Jun 8, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?$3.00Jun 8, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 8?$3.15Jun 8, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?$5.24Jun 8, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 9?$0.55Jun 8, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.00Jun 8, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.02Jun 3, 23:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $10.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 23:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 11:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.