Responsible-Living
0xd3efa045255cd3164520387fd91494f40f605a4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 17?
194 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 23?
147 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.88
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 23?
139 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.53
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?
96 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 14?
95 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of April 13 2026?
88 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 27?
75 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 14?
72 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 30?
69 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?
55 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 17?$2.29Jul 16, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 15?$203.22Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 15?$201.39Jul 15, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$237.49Jun 1, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$235.35May 31, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$2.05May 27, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?$2.94May 25, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$176.49May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$85.24May 22, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$49.50May 22, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$39.99May 22, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 17?$1.58May 16, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on April 15?$48.53May 16, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?$51.93May 10, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 21?$130.00May 1, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 21?$128.44Apr 21, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 12?$158.14Apr 19, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of April 13 2026?$2.19Apr 17, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 15?$46.72Apr 15, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 12?$0.36Apr 11, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $64.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 01:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.