Pure-Talent
0xd3f1d80be396b61152a0d397982c491d72849756
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-195.59
Realised
$4.97
Win rate
67%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 18?
1020 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on February 20?
1005 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 16?
1004 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
145 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
113 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
113 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
109 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2.45Apr 3, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$2.55Apr 3, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.70Apr 3, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$3.80Apr 3, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.04Apr 3, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.23Apr 3, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.28Apr 3, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$6.77Apr 3, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$6.70Apr 3, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$6.81Apr 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$6.21Apr 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$6.21Apr 3, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$6.04Apr 3, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$6.18Apr 3, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$5.18Apr 3, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$5.34Apr 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$5.92Apr 3, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.94Apr 3, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.44Apr 3, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$5.19Apr 3, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
78/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
33 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 13:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.