Thirsty-Friction
0xd3f751084e262c5becd591d1c51c02d2f09c9ba2
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$84.57
Total PnL
$6.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
60 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$59.57
$3.57
- NO
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?
25 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.0% on July 18?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$17.00Oct 25, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$16.77Oct 25, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$56.00Oct 25, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$55.03Oct 25, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$11.00Oct 11, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$9.79Oct 11, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$55.00Oct 10, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Oct 10, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?$11.07Oct 10, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$35.16Oct 10, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?$11.00Jul 18, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$35.00Jul 18, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be <44.0% on July 18?$5.00Jul 18, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on March 31?$14.50Jul 18, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on March 31?$14.30Mar 29, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$5.26Mar 29, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$50.35Mar 29, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$5.00Nov 11, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$50.00Nov 8, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?$12.36Nov 8, 09:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $20.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.