Miserable-Likelihood
0xd3fadfb95fc969b29cddc94c63863cb3c999d8de
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
10432 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
5208 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2615 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2614 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2614 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2611 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2610 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2608 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
2608 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$4.00Nov 15, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.5KNov 15, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.7KNov 15, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.6KNov 15, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.6KNov 15, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$484.89Nov 15, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.1KNov 15, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$20.00Nov 15, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$2.6KNov 15, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.3KNov 15, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.3KNov 15, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.6KNov 15, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.82Nov 15, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.3KNov 15, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.3KNov 15, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.6KNov 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.3KNov 15, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.3KNov 15, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.6KNov 15, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$18.50Nov 15, 02:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $992.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".