Demanding-Strobe
0xd3fb1b623922a4a13a3ceef5251ea5eaa2b8065f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$6.95
Total PnL
$-23.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
135 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.95
$-0.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
27239 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-13.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2296 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2294 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2292 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2291 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2288 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2288 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2281 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2281 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.16Mar 23, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.03Mar 23, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$5.12Mar 23, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.00Feb 4, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$5.00Feb 4, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 4, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?$1.03Feb 4, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.04Feb 4, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 4, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$2.05Feb 4, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?$1.00Dec 17, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.05Dec 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 4, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$50.00Nov 11, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.20Nov 11, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$42.80Nov 11, 02:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $751.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.