Decisive-Acceptance
0xd40b1f0ae9c1f6721f8a7911288803ee27c47200
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.42
Total PnL
$-17.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 88.4¢·now 31.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- GALATASARAY SK
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
7 shares @ 71.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.21May 30, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.40May 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.43May 30, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$3.17May 30, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$1.02May 30, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.03May 30, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$1.04May 22, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$1.00May 22, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.09May 6, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$1.02May 5, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00May 2, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.01May 2, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$3.57Apr 30, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$1.02Apr 29, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Apr 18, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMFC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5$1.05Apr 16, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5$1.00Apr 9, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)$5.00Apr 9, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$1.04Mar 30, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.02Mar 30, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 19:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".