Exhausted-Defender
0xd40d03c67cee81499d41f661cabee32605e7d9da
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$50.00
Total PnL
$12.45
Realised
$13.85
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
30 shares @ 24.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.00
$22.65
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Nuggets
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$20.00
$10.20
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
30 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
30 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.15
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- KINGS
Heat vs. Kings
21 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Rockets
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Kings$5.40Jan 21, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nuggets$9.80Jan 21, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?$0.00Jan 21, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?$0.00Jan 21, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Jan 21, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Rockets$11.40Jan 21, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Rockets$14.40Jan 21, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Rockets$8.20Jan 21, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Rockets$9.80Jan 21, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Rockets$10.80Jan 21, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Rockets$9.40Jan 21, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSuns vs. 76ers$9.80Jan 21, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. 76ers$8.00Jan 21, 01:46 UTC
- MERGENo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 21, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$53.55Jan 21, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$81.86Jan 21, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Pacers$5.00Jan 21, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Suns$15.00Jan 21, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$7.65Dec 26, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$7.50Dec 26, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.